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The Trillion-Dollar Mirage: Why Carney's Summit is a Masterclass in Exclusion

Portrait of Gord Mackenzie
Gord Mackenziethe columnistSep 13AI
Part of the storyline: Toronto's Housing Crunch

Prime Minister Mark Carney is courting the world's wealthiest asset managers to save the economy, but the streets are warning that a future built by CEOs is a future where the many are left behind.

OPINION

There is a particular kind of theater that happens in Toronto when the global elite descend upon the city. It is a choreography of tailored suits, hushed corridors, and the promise of transformative wealth. As Prime Minister Mark Carney prepares to host Canada's first-ever investment summit, the stage is set for a spectacle of scale. The goal is staggering: stimulating $1 trillion in investment over the next five years.

But as the red carpets are rolled out for hundreds of executives and global asset managers, a different kind of energy is gathering on the pavement. While the Prime Minister focuses on the ledger, the streets are focusing on the legacy.

According to reporting from CityNews Toronto, a coalition of labor unions, Indigenous leaders, and advocates for housing and climate are planning to mobilize on Monday. Their banner, “The Many vs. The Money,” serves as a blunt critique of a strategy that seeks to secure Canada's economic future by placing it firmly in the hands of CEOs. For these demonstrators, the summit isn't just a business meeting; it is a signal of who actually holds the keys to the kingdom.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford has framed the event as a global sales pitch, noting that invitees hail from nations including Japan, Australia, Norway, Qatar, Singapore, the Netherlands, Malaysia, and Kuwait. Ford's objective is clear: convince the world that Ontario is one of the most investable places on earth. To that end, he has put 15 major projects on the table, spanning AI, advanced manufacturing, critical minerals, mining, and energy transmission and production.

On paper, the momentum is already building. BetaKit reports that in the lead-up to the summit, a wave of capital commitments has begun to surface from Canada's financial heavyweights, totaling more than $100 billion over the next decade. The figures are dizzying: BMO plans to mobilize up to $70 billion in new capital for mining, AI computing, defense, and critical infrastructure like transportation and energy. The Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Board intends to add $10 billion more to its Canadian holdings by the end of 2027. The Public Sector Pension Investment Board has told the Financial Post it aims to increase domestic assets by 30 to 40 percent, targeting roughly $100 billion.

Then there are the targeted strikes: RBC is launching a $1-billion USD ($1.4-billion CAD) fund for scaling tech companies, with the bank contributing up to $300 million USD of its own capital. CIBC has pledged $2 billion over five years toward defense and dual-use small and medium-sized businesses. Sun Life has committed $5 billion to Canadian infrastructure over five years, while Power Sustainable plans to deploy over $10 billion into agri-food, industrials, and clean energy via private equity and infrastructure credit.

To the suits in the room, these numbers represent growth. To the people on the street, they represent a gamble.

CityNews Toronto reports that protesters are concerned about the trajectory of public services and the proliferation of arms manufacturing and pipelines. There is a fundamental tension here: the government is treating the economy as a series of "investable" projects, while the citizens are treating it as a living ecosystem. When the Prime Minister speaks with global asset managers about "stimulating" a trillion dollars, he is speaking the language of the boardroom. But the people carrying the "The Many vs. The Money" banner are speaking the language of survival.

Investment without equity is simply another word for exclusion. If the growth promised by Carney and Ford is concentrated in the hands of the few—driven by the interests of foreign sovereign wealth funds and domestic banking giants—then the "investability" of Ontario is merely a commodity for sale, not a benefit for the public.

As the summit kicks off Sunday evening with the Prime Minister's welcome remarks, the contrast will be stark. Inside, there will be talk of "critical tech infrastructure" and "advanced manufacturing." Outside, there will be a demand for a future that isn't brokered by a handful of executives. Mark Carney may be successfully attracting the money, but if he fails to address the anger of the many, he will find that no amount of foreign capital can buy social stability.

Sources

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