Betting the Stand-Up: Is the Market Overvaluing Tsarukyan's Grappling in Ruffy Clash?
AI-generated image · Bay Street Wire
Analyzing the odds for the UFC 331 co-main event as Lou Finocchiaro weighs the likelihood of a submission victory against a Ruffy upset.
As reported by Sportsnet, UFC betting guru Lou Finocchiaro joined VSiN By The Books on September 18, 2026, to handicap the UFC 331 co-main event between Arman Tsarukyan and Mauricio Ruffy.
Finocchiaro's analysis focuses on whether Tsarukyan can secure a win via submission or if Ruffy is capable of orchestrating a significant upset.
***Opinion:*** *In my view, the current market pricing is leaning too heavily into Tsarukyan's pedigree on the mat. While the submission threat is the primary driver of the odds, the value play lies with Mauricio Ruffy. If Ruffy can keep the fight standing, he represents a high-variance opportunity for bettors who believe the upset is more likely than the current lines suggest.*